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Wandering Adventure Party

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  3. Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

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  • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

    Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

    No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

    But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

    Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

    So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

    Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
    Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
    Woozle Hypertwin
    wrote last edited by
    #60

    @cstross I'd be interested in finding out if Scott Manley got anything wrong here.

    His take, as I understand it, is basically (1) the physics makes it complicated but not non-doable, and (2) can't be profitable now but may well be so within the foreseeable future -- making it likely that whoever gets there first, even before it's profitable, stands to make the usual absurd amounts of money (especially if orbital access is never properly regulated) once it does become cheap enough for it to be profitable.

    jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
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    • LucienL Lucien

      @cstross Starlink might be the only thing one of his companies got right. I've been using one for a while now and it's a game changer when living somewhere remote. I wish we had a suitable EU competitor and not have to contribute to this man's lunacy...

      OldGeekO This user is from outside of this forum
      OldGeekO This user is from outside of this forum
      OldGeek
      wrote last edited by
      #61

      @lucien @cstross Nope its still BS. It would have been cheaper to put all that money into running more fiber. Especially the last mile in rural areas. But that is not as sexy as Starlink.

      BornachB Charlie StrossC 2 Replies Last reply
      0
      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

        mausmaloneM This user is from outside of this forum
        mausmaloneM This user is from outside of this forum
        mausmalone
        wrote last edited by
        #62

        @cstross Elon Musk wants datacenters in space because he read Neuromancer once in high school and didn't understand any of it.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • bellegraylaneB bellegraylane

          @cstross yup. Tesla is dead, X is basically dead. He needs to create more hype, so here comes the physics breaking con to take more investors money.

          BornachB This user is from outside of this forum
          BornachB This user is from outside of this forum
          Bornach
          wrote last edited by
          #63

          @bellegraylane @cstross
          Musk merged Xitter with xAI to justify its high valuation to investors as an AI company now.
          The same crap with Tesla being rebranded an AI robotaxi and humanoid robot company.

          So makes sense to pull the same trick with SpaceX to gullible investors. That it's really an AI company so that SpaceX can afford to bail out Tesla when it buys all those unsold Cybertrucks.

          Won't be surprised when Neuralink is touted as an AI company next

          D'Arcy Norman 🇨🇦D 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

            Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

            No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

            But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

            Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

            So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

            Oberon OhanaO This user is from outside of this forum
            Oberon OhanaO This user is from outside of this forum
            Oberon Ohana
            wrote last edited by
            #64

            @cstross
            I've been thinking about that. I ran across this today, and thought Musk might be able to work it in to his pitch:

            http://www.weidai.com/black-holes.txt

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

              Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

              No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

              But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

              Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

              So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

              I_give_u_wormsI This user is from outside of this forum
              I_give_u_wormsI This user is from outside of this forum
              I_give_u_worms
              wrote last edited by
              #65

              @cstross when his other shit starts to break up it's going to be a pretty busy game of billiards

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • Fazal MajidF Fazal Majid

                @cstross won't Kessler Syndrome make space launch dead as a business long before that?

                Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                Charlie Stross
                wrote last edited by
                #66

                @fazalmajid No, because the density of particles in orbit falls off as the inverse cube of their altitude—the volume of space around Earth is vast, and the probability of an impact is a function of the particle density at any given altitude and how long your payload spends there on the way up. Starship could plausibly deliver comsat constellations to altitudes much higher than the overcrowded 200km orbits Starlink is crammed into, where impact probability is far lower.

                S 1 Reply Last reply
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                • OldGeekO OldGeek

                  @lucien @cstross Nope its still BS. It would have been cheaper to put all that money into running more fiber. Especially the last mile in rural areas. But that is not as sexy as Starlink.

                  BornachB This user is from outside of this forum
                  BornachB This user is from outside of this forum
                  Bornach
                  wrote last edited by
                  #67

                  @oldgeek @lucien @cstross
                  At 1:14:17 in the latest rant by @TechConnectify
                  https://youtu.be/KtQ9nt2ZeGM?t=1h14m17s

                  Imagine if government never built power lines to rural areas. They'd probably be singing praises to orbiting space lasers beaming them energy at huge expense or the delivery robot drones dropping off daily fuel shipments for their generators.

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • LucienL Lucien

                    @cstross Starlink might be the only thing one of his companies got right. I've been using one for a while now and it's a game changer when living somewhere remote. I wish we had a suitable EU competitor and not have to contribute to this man's lunacy...

                    Donald BallD This user is from outside of this forum
                    Donald BallD This user is from outside of this forum
                    Donald Ball
                    wrote last edited by
                    #68

                    @lucien @cstross If you ignore all the externalities and more practical and durable access options, sure.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • Feral FireD Feral Fire

                      @cstross isn't Starship becoming less and less useful as they keep 'iterating' it's development?

                      That giant cargo capacity keeps on dropping.

                      Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                      Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                      Charlie Stross
                      wrote last edited by
                      #69

                      @dgold Starship's first stage works fine (and has even re-flown), engines work fine (ditto). The problem is the upper stage design and the push for full reusability. If they throw away the stupid heat shield and make it a one-shot they could settle for a cheap disposable upper stage with monstrous payload capacity, and they could build it *right now*.

                      Once they had a 200 tonne payload HLV flying reliably, resuming incremental progress towards reusability would be uncontroversial.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                        Molly in MissouriW This user is from outside of this forum
                        Molly in MissouriW This user is from outside of this forum
                        Molly in Missouri
                        wrote last edited by
                        #70

                        @cstross  anyone still falling for elon musk just really wants to fall for elon musk, or just wants *you* to fall for elon musk while they secretly sell, while they can get their money back, plus yours.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • George BG George B

                          @cstross @tony

                          Don't know about you but I have not stopped talking about him begging to go to pedo Island (and it seems being rejected the majority of the time)

                          polypunkP This user is from outside of this forum
                          polypunkP This user is from outside of this forum
                          polypunk
                          wrote last edited by
                          #71

                          @gbargoud
                          The hell, I toolk this as a plot element in @bitterkarella 's latest gag?
                          Argh. I'm gonna hide under a rock...
                          @cstross @tony

                          George BG Chip UnicornC 2 Replies Last reply
                          0
                          • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                            Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                            No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                            But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                            Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                            So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                            RejZoRR This user is from outside of this forum
                            RejZoRR This user is from outside of this forum
                            RejZoR
                            wrote last edited by
                            #72

                            @cstross Elon keeps talking the dumbest shit every time he opens his mouth and everyone just starts throwing money at him without any thinking. Like, anyone remembers stupid Hyperloop? I kept saying that shit cannot ever work from day one and every time I was told he's the genius and I'm the idiot. Well, where's the fucking Hyperloop in every city?

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • OldGeekO OldGeek

                              @lucien @cstross Nope its still BS. It would have been cheaper to put all that money into running more fiber. Especially the last mile in rural areas. But that is not as sexy as Starlink.

                              Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                              Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                              Charlie Stross
                              wrote last edited by
                              #73

                              @oldgeek @lucien Tell me again how running more fibre is going to help internet bandwidth aboard ships at sea or airliners in the sky? (Please do, I'll wait.)

                              Ray McCarthyR 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • BornachB Bornach

                                @bellegraylane @cstross
                                Musk merged Xitter with xAI to justify its high valuation to investors as an AI company now.
                                The same crap with Tesla being rebranded an AI robotaxi and humanoid robot company.

                                So makes sense to pull the same trick with SpaceX to gullible investors. That it's really an AI company so that SpaceX can afford to bail out Tesla when it buys all those unsold Cybertrucks.

                                Won't be surprised when Neuralink is touted as an AI company next

                                D'Arcy Norman 🇨🇦D This user is from outside of this forum
                                D'Arcy Norman 🇨🇦D This user is from outside of this forum
                                D'Arcy Norman 🇨🇦
                                wrote last edited by
                                #74

                                @bornach @bellegraylane @cstross just waiting for The Boring Company to pivot to AI…

                                bellegraylaneB 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • polypunkP polypunk

                                  @gbargoud
                                  The hell, I toolk this as a plot element in @bitterkarella 's latest gag?
                                  Argh. I'm gonna hide under a rock...
                                  @cstross @tony

                                  George BG This user is from outside of this forum
                                  George BG This user is from outside of this forum
                                  George B
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #75

                                  @bitterkarella @cstross @tony @polypunk

                                  This email exchange particularly but there are at least 2 others I've seen (one of which looked like he actually made it to the island)

                                  Link Preview Image
                                  George B (@gbargoud@masto.nyc)

                                  Attached: 1 image @davidgerard@circumstances.run @quixoticgeek@v.st Here's a sample from the latest Epstein emails dump coincidentally on the same day he decided to make a big orbital data center announcement

                                  favicon

                                  Masto.NYC (masto.nyc)

                                  polypunkP Moto :rainbowinfinity:C BeelbeebubB 3 Replies Last reply
                                  0
                                  • George BG George B

                                    @bitterkarella @cstross @tony @polypunk

                                    This email exchange particularly but there are at least 2 others I've seen (one of which looked like he actually made it to the island)

                                    Link Preview Image
                                    George B (@gbargoud@masto.nyc)

                                    Attached: 1 image @davidgerard@circumstances.run @quixoticgeek@v.st Here's a sample from the latest Epstein emails dump coincidentally on the same day he decided to make a big orbital data center announcement

                                    favicon

                                    Masto.NYC (masto.nyc)

                                    polypunkP This user is from outside of this forum
                                    polypunkP This user is from outside of this forum
                                    polypunk
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #76

                                    @gbargoud
                                    Ugh.
                                    @bitterkarella @cstross @tony

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • George BG George B

                                      @bitterkarella @cstross @tony @polypunk

                                      This email exchange particularly but there are at least 2 others I've seen (one of which looked like he actually made it to the island)

                                      Link Preview Image
                                      George B (@gbargoud@masto.nyc)

                                      Attached: 1 image @davidgerard@circumstances.run @quixoticgeek@v.st Here's a sample from the latest Epstein emails dump coincidentally on the same day he decided to make a big orbital data center announcement

                                      favicon

                                      Masto.NYC (masto.nyc)

                                      Moto :rainbowinfinity:C This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Moto :rainbowinfinity:C This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Moto :rainbowinfinity:
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #77

                                      @gbargoud @cstross @bitterkarella @tony @polypunk Wow. “Hey guys I wanna come party on pedo island!” “Nah man, you missed it, so sad”

                                      As a nerd who’s gotten quite accustomed to living on the outer fringe of the Cool Kids Klub, this dialog feels hauntingly familiar.

                                      Still gross, but also pathetic

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                        @fazalmajid No, because the density of particles in orbit falls off as the inverse cube of their altitude—the volume of space around Earth is vast, and the probability of an impact is a function of the particle density at any given altitude and how long your payload spends there on the way up. Starship could plausibly deliver comsat constellations to altitudes much higher than the overcrowded 200km orbits Starlink is crammed into, where impact probability is far lower.

                                        S This user is from outside of this forum
                                        S This user is from outside of this forum
                                        S38
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #78

                                        @cstross

                                        I thought latency was still an issue.

                                        @fazalmajid

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • George BG George B

                                          @bitterkarella @cstross @tony @polypunk

                                          This email exchange particularly but there are at least 2 others I've seen (one of which looked like he actually made it to the island)

                                          Link Preview Image
                                          George B (@gbargoud@masto.nyc)

                                          Attached: 1 image @davidgerard@circumstances.run @quixoticgeek@v.st Here's a sample from the latest Epstein emails dump coincidentally on the same day he decided to make a big orbital data center announcement

                                          favicon

                                          Masto.NYC (masto.nyc)

                                          BeelbeebubB This user is from outside of this forum
                                          BeelbeebubB This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Beelbeebub
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #79

                                          "sorry Elon, we're... Err.....away that weekend.... and anyway I don't think I'm gonna do anymore parties...."

                                          <gestures at all the other half naked orgy goers to be quiet >

                                          ".... yeah, so maybe another time?.... OK, love you, bye"

                                          <hangs up, naked mariachi band strikes up, Bill Gates stage dives into pit of naked girls>

                                          "..... Jesus Ghislaine, how did he get my new number?"

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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