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Wandering Adventure Party

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  3. Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

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  • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

    Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

    No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

    But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

    Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

    So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

    S. LottS This user is from outside of this forum
    S. LottS This user is from outside of this forum
    S. Lott
    wrote last edited by
    #47

    @cstross Did he read Singularity Sky and feel he could make that future happen with more computers everywhere?

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • Fazal MajidF Fazal Majid

      @gbargoud @cstross @tony it takes a special kind of creepy to weird even Epstein out.

      GraydonG This user is from outside of this forum
      GraydonG This user is from outside of this forum
      Graydon
      wrote last edited by
      #48

      @fazalmajid Well, that, probably, but also "power broker".

      The Epstein files function to identify the de facto real power structure. (As he saw it, but considering how long he kept what running, he can't have been too far off.)

      (It also identifies the help and the wannabes.)

      @gbargoud @cstross @tony

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

        LightfighterL This user is from outside of this forum
        LightfighterL This user is from outside of this forum
        Lightfighter
        wrote last edited by
        #49

        @cstross But it's great hype for AI bros and TESCREAL cretins.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

          Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

          No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

          But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

          Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

          So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

          Feral FireD This user is from outside of this forum
          Feral FireD This user is from outside of this forum
          Feral Fire
          wrote last edited by
          #50

          @cstross isn't Starship becoming less and less useful as they keep 'iterating' it's development?

          That giant cargo capacity keeps on dropping.

          Charlie StrossC 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

            Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

            No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

            But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

            Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

            So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

            Oliver SchafeldO This user is from outside of this forum
            Oliver SchafeldO This user is from outside of this forum
            Oliver Schafeld
            wrote last edited by
            #51

            Here's a fine blog about what appears to be Musk's latest SpaceX hoax by an actual physics and astronomy professor:

            The Dumbest Thing I’ve Seen This Week — physicsmatt

            Given that it is 2025, the dumbest thing I’ve seen this week is some stiff competition, but “AI datacenters in space” is some impressive idiocy. I’ve seen a few breathless media reports on how AI companies are planning to launch entire datacenters into space. Some of these articles point to a single H100 GPU that was used to train a LLM while in orbit. Obviously, humanity has the capacity to launch a single GPU into orbit, and small LLMs can be trained on an H100. However, that’s a far cry from a datacenter, and so it is somewhat surprising that this is being hyped by companies who are selling the idea of massive datacenters in orbit.

            favicon

            physicsmatt (www.physicsmatt.com)

            »The only reason to launch a shitload of GPUs into orbit is to say you did it, because they sure as hell aren’t going to add meaningful capacity to the datacenters on Earth, will cost far more, and would have short usable lifespans. […] So why are a bunch of techbros and their pet journalists hyping this?«

            Oliver SchafeldO 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

              Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

              No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

              But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

              Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

              So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

              Graeme 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿P This user is from outside of this forum
              Graeme 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿P This user is from outside of this forum
              Graeme 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
              wrote last edited by
              #52

              @cstross Not to mention it probably arrived as a ketamine induced hallucination.
              Or maybe grok predicted it.
              He possibly even believes it himself, he's so full of it, it's hard to tell.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • Oliver SchafeldO Oliver Schafeld

                Here's a fine blog about what appears to be Musk's latest SpaceX hoax by an actual physics and astronomy professor:

                The Dumbest Thing I’ve Seen This Week — physicsmatt

                Given that it is 2025, the dumbest thing I’ve seen this week is some stiff competition, but “AI datacenters in space” is some impressive idiocy. I’ve seen a few breathless media reports on how AI companies are planning to launch entire datacenters into space. Some of these articles point to a single H100 GPU that was used to train a LLM while in orbit. Obviously, humanity has the capacity to launch a single GPU into orbit, and small LLMs can be trained on an H100. However, that’s a far cry from a datacenter, and so it is somewhat surprising that this is being hyped by companies who are selling the idea of massive datacenters in orbit.

                favicon

                physicsmatt (www.physicsmatt.com)

                »The only reason to launch a shitload of GPUs into orbit is to say you did it, because they sure as hell aren’t going to add meaningful capacity to the datacenters on Earth, will cost far more, and would have short usable lifespans. […] So why are a bunch of techbros and their pet journalists hyping this?«

                Oliver SchafeldO This user is from outside of this forum
                Oliver SchafeldO This user is from outside of this forum
                Oliver Schafeld
                wrote last edited by
                #53

                Hier ein Blog auf Deutsch, das diesen KI-Satelliten Gigaquatsch sachlich zerlegt.

                Link Preview Image
                Musks KI-Rechenzentren im Orbit

                Bei meinem regelmäßigen Besuch des Space Reviews stieß ich auf diesen Artikel: SpaceX, orbital data centers, and the journey to Mars. Ich hatte in meiner Nachlese schon erwähnt das Elon Musk, nachd…

                favicon

                Bernd Leitenbergers Blog (www.bernd-leitenberger.de)

                »Meiner Ansicht nach macht dieser kuriose Vorschlag nur einen Sinn: Kunden für Starlink und Falcons zu beschaffen. 1 Million Satelliten erfordern weit über 100.000 Falcon 9 Starts […] Es muss schlecht um Starlink stehen, wenn es solche Vorschläge von Musk gibt…«

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                  Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                  No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                  But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                  Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                  So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                  AllpointsA This user is from outside of this forum
                  AllpointsA This user is from outside of this forum
                  Allpoints
                  wrote last edited by
                  #54

                  @cstross the thing is, the big money knows it's BS or, at least, doesn't care if it's BS. They'll get in early, ride the hype wave and then try to cash out before it all falls apart.

                  "The stock markets are a way for everyone to participate in owning a company and promote growth." Is nonsense. The markets have become casinos and are disconnected from the economy.

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                    Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                    No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                    But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                    Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                    So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                    Lazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈L This user is from outside of this forum
                    Lazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈L This user is from outside of this forum
                    Lazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈
                    wrote last edited by
                    #55

                    @cstross I remember when he claimed his rocket would be on Mars by 2025 and everyone who doesn't know about Space believed him because he's nothing more than a huckster, selling Science Fiction as fact and Journalism not bothering to look beyond the hype.

                    This man, who was SO keen to visit the Paedo Island....

                    #ElonMusk #Space #SpaceX #Hustlers #Grifters #ClanOfPaedophiles

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                      Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                      No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                      But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                      Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                      So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                      bellegraylaneB This user is from outside of this forum
                      bellegraylaneB This user is from outside of this forum
                      bellegraylane
                      wrote last edited by
                      #56

                      @cstross yup. Tesla is dead, X is basically dead. He needs to create more hype, so here comes the physics breaking con to take more investors money.

                      BornachB 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • Brian GordonE Brian Gordon

                        @NMBA @cstross

                        Tell me he did not say this. It's like Elon's playing a game to see what he can get away with. Like a child might when testing boundaries. Oh wait, narcissists actually have the emotional maturity of a child...

                        "SpaceX will start launching Starships to Mars in 2026, Elon Musk says"

                        #narcissism #musk #spacex

                        Lazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈L This user is from outside of this forum
                        Lazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈L This user is from outside of this forum
                        Lazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈
                        wrote last edited by
                        #57

                        @elasticsoul @NMBA @cstross actually he said it was 2025. He's late....

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                          Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                          No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                          But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                          Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                          So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                          Scale TheoryS This user is from outside of this forum
                          Scale TheoryS This user is from outside of this forum
                          Scale Theory
                          wrote last edited by
                          #58

                          @cstross

                          "laws of physics say "nope""
                          But there is a way, figured it out. If "elon" wants the secret then it will cost him the trillion the "board of directors" (doge) .. paid him. 300,000,000 would get a tax refund of $3,333.33

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • Kristian ThyK Kristian Thy

                            @clintruin @mkoek @cstross here's one of my favourite Wikipedia pages: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autonomous_Tesla_vehicles_by_Elon_Musk

                            Mark KoekM This user is from outside of this forum
                            Mark KoekM This user is from outside of this forum
                            Mark Koek
                            wrote last edited by
                            #59

                            @kthy @clintruin @cstross but what does Grokipedia have to say on the subject? Not going to check, but I strongly suspect not much. 🙂

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                              Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                              No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                              But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                              Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                              So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                              Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                              Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                              Woozle Hypertwin
                              wrote last edited by
                              #60

                              @cstross I'd be interested in finding out if Scott Manley got anything wrong here.

                              His take, as I understand it, is basically (1) the physics makes it complicated but not non-doable, and (2) can't be profitable now but may well be so within the foreseeable future -- making it likely that whoever gets there first, even before it's profitable, stands to make the usual absurd amounts of money (especially if orbital access is never properly regulated) once it does become cheap enough for it to be profitable.

                              jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • LucienL Lucien

                                @cstross Starlink might be the only thing one of his companies got right. I've been using one for a while now and it's a game changer when living somewhere remote. I wish we had a suitable EU competitor and not have to contribute to this man's lunacy...

                                OldGeekO This user is from outside of this forum
                                OldGeekO This user is from outside of this forum
                                OldGeek
                                wrote last edited by
                                #61

                                @lucien @cstross Nope its still BS. It would have been cheaper to put all that money into running more fiber. Especially the last mile in rural areas. But that is not as sexy as Starlink.

                                BornachB Charlie StrossC 2 Replies Last reply
                                0
                                • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                  Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                  No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                  But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                  Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                  So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                  mausmaloneM This user is from outside of this forum
                                  mausmaloneM This user is from outside of this forum
                                  mausmalone
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #62

                                  @cstross Elon Musk wants datacenters in space because he read Neuromancer once in high school and didn't understand any of it.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • bellegraylaneB bellegraylane

                                    @cstross yup. Tesla is dead, X is basically dead. He needs to create more hype, so here comes the physics breaking con to take more investors money.

                                    BornachB This user is from outside of this forum
                                    BornachB This user is from outside of this forum
                                    Bornach
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #63

                                    @bellegraylane @cstross
                                    Musk merged Xitter with xAI to justify its high valuation to investors as an AI company now.
                                    The same crap with Tesla being rebranded an AI robotaxi and humanoid robot company.

                                    So makes sense to pull the same trick with SpaceX to gullible investors. That it's really an AI company so that SpaceX can afford to bail out Tesla when it buys all those unsold Cybertrucks.

                                    Won't be surprised when Neuralink is touted as an AI company next

                                    D'Arcy Norman 🇨🇦D 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                      Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                      No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                      But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                      Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                      So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                      Oberon OhanaO This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Oberon OhanaO This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Oberon Ohana
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #64

                                      @cstross
                                      I've been thinking about that. I ran across this today, and thought Musk might be able to work it in to his pitch:

                                      http://www.weidai.com/black-holes.txt

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                        I_give_u_wormsI This user is from outside of this forum
                                        I_give_u_wormsI This user is from outside of this forum
                                        I_give_u_worms
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #65

                                        @cstross when his other shit starts to break up it's going to be a pretty busy game of billiards

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • Fazal MajidF Fazal Majid

                                          @cstross won't Kessler Syndrome make space launch dead as a business long before that?

                                          Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Charlie Stross
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #66

                                          @fazalmajid No, because the density of particles in orbit falls off as the inverse cube of their altitude—the volume of space around Earth is vast, and the probability of an impact is a function of the particle density at any given altitude and how long your payload spends there on the way up. Starship could plausibly deliver comsat constellations to altitudes much higher than the overcrowded 200km orbits Starlink is crammed into, where impact probability is far lower.

                                          S 1 Reply Last reply
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