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Wandering Adventure Party

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  3. Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

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  • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

    @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

    My rules for brain implants:

    1. I will not alpha or beta test; in fact I think waiting for v3.25 is probably for the best

    2. Must run Open Source software *not using any dependencies requiring a Package Manager*

    3. Must not require *any* kind of 'cloud' to operate, must work fine without a network connection, and must be locally configurable

    4. You know what? Even if it meets rules 1 to 3 I'm still not too hot on the idea…

    JohnJ This user is from outside of this forum
    JohnJ This user is from outside of this forum
    John
    wrote last edited by
    #127

    @jackwilliambell @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

    We know so little about the brain's real mechanics that brain implants can't be any more sophisticated than plugging a phone into a potato.

    Brain implants today are like using a railgun to crochet lace.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • polypunkP polypunk

      @gbargoud
      The hell, I toolk this as a plot element in @bitterkarella 's latest gag?
      Argh. I'm gonna hide under a rock...
      @cstross @tony

      Chip UnicornC This user is from outside of this forum
      Chip UnicornC This user is from outside of this forum
      Chip Unicorn
      wrote last edited by
      #128

      @polypunk

      @bitterkarella just transcribes what's happening. Reality has lapped satire.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

        @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

        My rules for brain implants:

        1. I will not alpha or beta test; in fact I think waiting for v3.25 is probably for the best

        2. Must run Open Source software *not using any dependencies requiring a Package Manager*

        3. Must not require *any* kind of 'cloud' to operate, must work fine without a network connection, and must be locally configurable

        4. You know what? Even if it meets rules 1 to 3 I'm still not too hot on the idea…

        frogF This user is from outside of this forum
        frogF This user is from outside of this forum
        frog
        wrote last edited by
        #129

        @jackwilliambell @cstross @ApostateEnglishman I'd add to that a physical bypass. I want a switch that I can flip that will completely disable the device. This switch can't be flipped with software, and it is impossible for the device to function (think "airgap in the power supply") without the switch in the on position.

        Still probably a "no" for me.

        Jack William BellJ 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • frogF frog

          @jackwilliambell @cstross @ApostateEnglishman I'd add to that a physical bypass. I want a switch that I can flip that will completely disable the device. This switch can't be flipped with software, and it is impossible for the device to function (think "airgap in the power supply") without the switch in the on position.

          Still probably a "no" for me.

          Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
          Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
          Jack William Bell
          wrote last edited by
          #130

          @frog @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

          Yeah, adding that to the list.

          NOTE: I use a phone with physical switches for the mic, GPS, and network connections for reasons.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

            @ApostateEnglishman You ask about failed SpaceX launches: turns out Falcon 9 has launched 606 times with 603 mission successes. 3 launch failures total, none in the past 11 years. It's *ridiculously* reliable compared to any of its rivals.

            (Falcon 1—discontinued—was a buggy prototype; Starship is trying to get past that.)

            (Tesla is not going to give us humanoid robots, not beyond showroom rigged demos targeting the investors' wallets. And I'm NOT having one of those brain implants, no way!)

            76667 This user is from outside of this forum
            76667 This user is from outside of this forum
            7666
            wrote last edited by
            #131
            @cstross @ApostateEnglishman I would argue that it is the tireless work of engineers and not leadership that allows for his success, which, thinking about it, is true for most companies actually.
            1 Reply Last reply
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            • Marika@homeH Marika@home

              @cstross thanks for pointing it out that clearly. I went through several articles yesterday to find out why the hell someone would think putting a data center in space would be beneficial.

              And the only argument every journalist was citing besides "Sam Altman said it in a podcast" was 24/7 solar power, independent of weather. Which is not true for most lower orbits (earth's shadow), and still doesn't solve cooling, too little power, limited up/down link and maintenance problems.

              So that it's just bullshit to sound futuristic to the dumbest of the dumbest makes a lot of sense.

              SuperMoosieS This user is from outside of this forum
              SuperMoosieS This user is from outside of this forum
              SuperMoosie
              wrote last edited by
              #132

              @hermlon @cstross

              Or to have it structured, so profits and content are outside the jurisdiction of any country.

              Why have your ai create digital pedophile and invastive non consensual images here on earth, where you are subject to laws about such stuff, when you can do whatever you want in space.

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              • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

                @jb I don't approve of capitalism occupying Earth orbit; my point was that (at least according to Manley, and what I do understand of physics and orbital mechanics) it's not implausible that what the Muskrat is doing here is actually sensible from a capitalist standpoint.

                His whole existence is a grift, and he needs to be stopped, but this particular part of it seems far less of a con than (e.g.) the "cybertruck".

                @cstross

                jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                jb
                wrote last edited by
                #133

                @woozle

                Space is a little more hostile than the deepest parts of the ocean. Except in one way: there's no atmosphere to block the nastiest bits of radiation out there.

                Computers really do not like radiation. They like it less than DNA does, and are more sensitive to it. And the smaller the fab size of the chip is, the more sensitive it'll be to ionizing radiation.

                @cstross

                jbJ Woozle HypertwinW 2 Replies Last reply
                0
                • jbJ jb

                  @woozle

                  Space is a little more hostile than the deepest parts of the ocean. Except in one way: there's no atmosphere to block the nastiest bits of radiation out there.

                  Computers really do not like radiation. They like it less than DNA does, and are more sensitive to it. And the smaller the fab size of the chip is, the more sensitive it'll be to ionizing radiation.

                  @cstross

                  jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jb
                  wrote last edited by
                  #134

                  @woozle

                  So, if you put a bunch of computers in orbit, ignoring the hard problems like heat, cooling, moving heat away from sensitive components, per KG fuel costs to get it in orbit, fitting the shit in to geostationary, or other high orbit.

                  You still have "how do you deal with equipment failures and loss of components" and "get enough up there to ensure redundancy".

                  I don't know if you've built a datacenter, but that's a bunch of mass to move.
                  @cstross

                  Woozle HypertwinW 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • jbJ jb

                    @woozle

                    Space is a little more hostile than the deepest parts of the ocean. Except in one way: there's no atmosphere to block the nastiest bits of radiation out there.

                    Computers really do not like radiation. They like it less than DNA does, and are more sensitive to it. And the smaller the fab size of the chip is, the more sensitive it'll be to ionizing radiation.

                    @cstross

                    Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                    Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                    Woozle Hypertwin
                    wrote last edited by
                    #135

                    @jb Yep, Manley discusses that issue -- specifically mentioning the visible degradation of external cameras on the ISS as an example.

                    @cstross

                    jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

                      @jb Yep, Manley discusses that issue -- specifically mentioning the visible degradation of external cameras on the ISS as an example.

                      @cstross

                      jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      jb
                      wrote last edited by
                      #136

                      @woozle

                      Take a standard "household" laser, and point it at the sensor of a normal digital camera. That'll simulate the degradation of a CMOS in orbit pretty effectively, and slightly faster.

                      @cstross

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • jbJ jb

                        @woozle

                        So, if you put a bunch of computers in orbit, ignoring the hard problems like heat, cooling, moving heat away from sensitive components, per KG fuel costs to get it in orbit, fitting the shit in to geostationary, or other high orbit.

                        You still have "how do you deal with equipment failures and loss of components" and "get enough up there to ensure redundancy".

                        I don't know if you've built a datacenter, but that's a bunch of mass to move.
                        @cstross

                        Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                        Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                        Woozle Hypertwin
                        wrote last edited by
                        #137

                        @jb

                        Short answer: there are also some major advantages, which right now are very much outweighed by the disadvantages.

                        It all depends on the pricing of space access, and whether it gets cheap enough fast enough to make this idea pay off.

                        @cstross

                        jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

                          @jb

                          Short answer: there are also some major advantages, which right now are very much outweighed by the disadvantages.

                          It all depends on the pricing of space access, and whether it gets cheap enough fast enough to make this idea pay off.

                          @cstross

                          jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jb
                          wrote last edited by
                          #138

                          @woozle

                          It'd have to be as cheap as shipping a fully laden 40ft intermodal (ISO 668) container from Oakland to Shanghai before its actually economical. That's about $3000 USD for the container, not counting cargo, insurance, etc.. Max capacity is about 30500 kg.

                          That's getting a datacenter in orbit, securely, with cooling, radiators, shielding, power, and redundancy for under $3/kg.

                          That's not going to happen.

                          @cstross

                          jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • jbJ jb

                            @woozle

                            It'd have to be as cheap as shipping a fully laden 40ft intermodal (ISO 668) container from Oakland to Shanghai before its actually economical. That's about $3000 USD for the container, not counting cargo, insurance, etc.. Max capacity is about 30500 kg.

                            That's getting a datacenter in orbit, securely, with cooling, radiators, shielding, power, and redundancy for under $3/kg.

                            That's not going to happen.

                            @cstross

                            jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            jb
                            wrote last edited by
                            #139

                            @woozle Even then, it's not actually economical if the customers aren't willing to pay extra for the resources, which will be highly latent in a world that despises latency.

                            You end up with Sealand all over again, where the idea is better than the implementation ever can be.

                            Eventually, you have orbiting scrap, cluttering the sky, slowly decaying in orbit.

                            @cstross

                            Woozle HypertwinW 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • C This user is from outside of this forum
                              C This user is from outside of this forum
                              Carnildo
                              wrote last edited by
                              #140

                              @axx @cstross He's succeeded twice: the Tesla Model S was the first mass-produced electric vehicle that wasn't a compliance car, and the Falcon 9 brought the cost of spaceflight down by at least an order of magnitude. If he didn't keep over-hyping his goals and doubling down on his failures, he'd be remembered as a genius -- Edison, for example, had numerous flops for each wild success.

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

                                @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

                                My rules for brain implants:

                                1. I will not alpha or beta test; in fact I think waiting for v3.25 is probably for the best

                                2. Must run Open Source software *not using any dependencies requiring a Package Manager*

                                3. Must not require *any* kind of 'cloud' to operate, must work fine without a network connection, and must be locally configurable

                                4. You know what? Even if it meets rules 1 to 3 I'm still not too hot on the idea…

                                Ash_CrowA This user is from outside of this forum
                                Ash_CrowA This user is from outside of this forum
                                Ash_Crow
                                wrote last edited by
                                #141

                                @jackwilliambell @cstross @ApostateEnglishman open hardware as well, and with parts standard enough that they don't depend on a single manufacturing company

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                                • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

                                  @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

                                  My rules for brain implants:

                                  1. I will not alpha or beta test; in fact I think waiting for v3.25 is probably for the best

                                  2. Must run Open Source software *not using any dependencies requiring a Package Manager*

                                  3. Must not require *any* kind of 'cloud' to operate, must work fine without a network connection, and must be locally configurable

                                  4. You know what? Even if it meets rules 1 to 3 I'm still not too hot on the idea…

                                  Tom BortelsT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  Tom BortelsT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  Tom Bortels
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #142

                                  @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross

                                  Brain implants are and were dumb on their face.

                                  It turns out we have several excellent brain interfaces available and honed over millions of years of evolution - our eyes, ears, hands, voice, and a bunch of more subtle ones like touch and balance. They are intuitive, built-in, and free. And none of them are permanently invasive, which saves all sorts of biology issues.

                                  The only real use-case for any sort of implant is where you have no alternative - the pacemaker comes to mind. The rest are someone trying to sell you something you don't need or want.

                                  HighlandLawyerH 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • Tom BortelsT Tom Bortels

                                    @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross

                                    Brain implants are and were dumb on their face.

                                    It turns out we have several excellent brain interfaces available and honed over millions of years of evolution - our eyes, ears, hands, voice, and a bunch of more subtle ones like touch and balance. They are intuitive, built-in, and free. And none of them are permanently invasive, which saves all sorts of biology issues.

                                    The only real use-case for any sort of implant is where you have no alternative - the pacemaker comes to mind. The rest are someone trying to sell you something you don't need or want.

                                    HighlandLawyerH This user is from outside of this forum
                                    HighlandLawyerH This user is from outside of this forum
                                    HighlandLawyer
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #143

                                    @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross @tbortels
                                    There's also the option of external devices which communicate directly with the brain, no hole in the head required.

                                    Jack William BellJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • jbJ jb

                                      @woozle Even then, it's not actually economical if the customers aren't willing to pay extra for the resources, which will be highly latent in a world that despises latency.

                                      You end up with Sealand all over again, where the idea is better than the implementation ever can be.

                                      Eventually, you have orbiting scrap, cluttering the sky, slowly decaying in orbit.

                                      @cstross

                                      Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Woozle Hypertwin
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #144

                                      @jb

                                      I could address these points... but it kind of feels like you mainly want to establish the idea that "this is a really bad idea", which I agree is true right now and for the reasonably foreseeable future.

                                      @cstross

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                        Tom DB 🦣T This user is from outside of this forum
                                        Tom DB 🦣T This user is from outside of this forum
                                        Tom DB 🦣
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #145

                                        @cstross bla bla bla bla bla

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • HighlandLawyerH HighlandLawyer

                                          @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross @tbortels
                                          There's also the option of external devices which communicate directly with the brain, no hole in the head required.

                                          Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Jack William Bell
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #146

                                          @HighlandLawyer @ApostateEnglishman @cstross @tbortels

                                          Then the rules still apply. If it can change my brain state? I will have a difficult time trusting it. In truth? I sometimes distrust my own senses.

                                          Human perceptions are imperfect and brain-mediated. Ever look at anything and simply not see some detail on it until it's pointed out for you? Ever hallucinate? Not smell a stink because you got used to it?

                                          We get ALL information via lofi, low-trust channels. We cannot trust our lying eyes.

                                          Jack William BellJ HighlandLawyerH 2 Replies Last reply
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