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Wandering Adventure Party

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  3. Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

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  • Marika@homeH Marika@home

    @cstross thanks for pointing it out that clearly. I went through several articles yesterday to find out why the hell someone would think putting a data center in space would be beneficial.

    And the only argument every journalist was citing besides "Sam Altman said it in a podcast" was 24/7 solar power, independent of weather. Which is not true for most lower orbits (earth's shadow), and still doesn't solve cooling, too little power, limited up/down link and maintenance problems.

    So that it's just bullshit to sound futuristic to the dumbest of the dumbest makes a lot of sense.

    SuperMoosieS This user is from outside of this forum
    SuperMoosieS This user is from outside of this forum
    SuperMoosie
    wrote last edited by
    #132

    @hermlon @cstross

    Or to have it structured, so profits and content are outside the jurisdiction of any country.

    Why have your ai create digital pedophile and invastive non consensual images here on earth, where you are subject to laws about such stuff, when you can do whatever you want in space.

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    • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

      @jb I don't approve of capitalism occupying Earth orbit; my point was that (at least according to Manley, and what I do understand of physics and orbital mechanics) it's not implausible that what the Muskrat is doing here is actually sensible from a capitalist standpoint.

      His whole existence is a grift, and he needs to be stopped, but this particular part of it seems far less of a con than (e.g.) the "cybertruck".

      @cstross

      jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jb
      wrote last edited by
      #133

      @woozle

      Space is a little more hostile than the deepest parts of the ocean. Except in one way: there's no atmosphere to block the nastiest bits of radiation out there.

      Computers really do not like radiation. They like it less than DNA does, and are more sensitive to it. And the smaller the fab size of the chip is, the more sensitive it'll be to ionizing radiation.

      @cstross

      jbJ Woozle HypertwinW 2 Replies Last reply
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      • jbJ jb

        @woozle

        Space is a little more hostile than the deepest parts of the ocean. Except in one way: there's no atmosphere to block the nastiest bits of radiation out there.

        Computers really do not like radiation. They like it less than DNA does, and are more sensitive to it. And the smaller the fab size of the chip is, the more sensitive it'll be to ionizing radiation.

        @cstross

        jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
        jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
        jb
        wrote last edited by
        #134

        @woozle

        So, if you put a bunch of computers in orbit, ignoring the hard problems like heat, cooling, moving heat away from sensitive components, per KG fuel costs to get it in orbit, fitting the shit in to geostationary, or other high orbit.

        You still have "how do you deal with equipment failures and loss of components" and "get enough up there to ensure redundancy".

        I don't know if you've built a datacenter, but that's a bunch of mass to move.
        @cstross

        Woozle HypertwinW 1 Reply Last reply
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        • jbJ jb

          @woozle

          Space is a little more hostile than the deepest parts of the ocean. Except in one way: there's no atmosphere to block the nastiest bits of radiation out there.

          Computers really do not like radiation. They like it less than DNA does, and are more sensitive to it. And the smaller the fab size of the chip is, the more sensitive it'll be to ionizing radiation.

          @cstross

          Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
          Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
          Woozle Hypertwin
          wrote last edited by
          #135

          @jb Yep, Manley discusses that issue -- specifically mentioning the visible degradation of external cameras on the ISS as an example.

          @cstross

          jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
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          • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

            @jb Yep, Manley discusses that issue -- specifically mentioning the visible degradation of external cameras on the ISS as an example.

            @cstross

            jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
            jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
            jb
            wrote last edited by
            #136

            @woozle

            Take a standard "household" laser, and point it at the sensor of a normal digital camera. That'll simulate the degradation of a CMOS in orbit pretty effectively, and slightly faster.

            @cstross

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            • jbJ jb

              @woozle

              So, if you put a bunch of computers in orbit, ignoring the hard problems like heat, cooling, moving heat away from sensitive components, per KG fuel costs to get it in orbit, fitting the shit in to geostationary, or other high orbit.

              You still have "how do you deal with equipment failures and loss of components" and "get enough up there to ensure redundancy".

              I don't know if you've built a datacenter, but that's a bunch of mass to move.
              @cstross

              Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
              Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
              Woozle Hypertwin
              wrote last edited by
              #137

              @jb

              Short answer: there are also some major advantages, which right now are very much outweighed by the disadvantages.

              It all depends on the pricing of space access, and whether it gets cheap enough fast enough to make this idea pay off.

              @cstross

              jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
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              • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

                @jb

                Short answer: there are also some major advantages, which right now are very much outweighed by the disadvantages.

                It all depends on the pricing of space access, and whether it gets cheap enough fast enough to make this idea pay off.

                @cstross

                jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                jb
                wrote last edited by
                #138

                @woozle

                It'd have to be as cheap as shipping a fully laden 40ft intermodal (ISO 668) container from Oakland to Shanghai before its actually economical. That's about $3000 USD for the container, not counting cargo, insurance, etc.. Max capacity is about 30500 kg.

                That's getting a datacenter in orbit, securely, with cooling, radiators, shielding, power, and redundancy for under $3/kg.

                That's not going to happen.

                @cstross

                jbJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                • jbJ jb

                  @woozle

                  It'd have to be as cheap as shipping a fully laden 40ft intermodal (ISO 668) container from Oakland to Shanghai before its actually economical. That's about $3000 USD for the container, not counting cargo, insurance, etc.. Max capacity is about 30500 kg.

                  That's getting a datacenter in orbit, securely, with cooling, radiators, shielding, power, and redundancy for under $3/kg.

                  That's not going to happen.

                  @cstross

                  jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jbJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jb
                  wrote last edited by
                  #139

                  @woozle Even then, it's not actually economical if the customers aren't willing to pay extra for the resources, which will be highly latent in a world that despises latency.

                  You end up with Sealand all over again, where the idea is better than the implementation ever can be.

                  Eventually, you have orbiting scrap, cluttering the sky, slowly decaying in orbit.

                  @cstross

                  Woozle HypertwinW 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • C This user is from outside of this forum
                    C This user is from outside of this forum
                    Carnildo
                    wrote last edited by
                    #140

                    @axx @cstross He's succeeded twice: the Tesla Model S was the first mass-produced electric vehicle that wasn't a compliance car, and the Falcon 9 brought the cost of spaceflight down by at least an order of magnitude. If he didn't keep over-hyping his goals and doubling down on his failures, he'd be remembered as a genius -- Edison, for example, had numerous flops for each wild success.

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                    • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

                      @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

                      My rules for brain implants:

                      1. I will not alpha or beta test; in fact I think waiting for v3.25 is probably for the best

                      2. Must run Open Source software *not using any dependencies requiring a Package Manager*

                      3. Must not require *any* kind of 'cloud' to operate, must work fine without a network connection, and must be locally configurable

                      4. You know what? Even if it meets rules 1 to 3 I'm still not too hot on the idea…

                      Ash_CrowA This user is from outside of this forum
                      Ash_CrowA This user is from outside of this forum
                      Ash_Crow
                      wrote last edited by
                      #141

                      @jackwilliambell @cstross @ApostateEnglishman open hardware as well, and with parts standard enough that they don't depend on a single manufacturing company

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                      • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

                        @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

                        My rules for brain implants:

                        1. I will not alpha or beta test; in fact I think waiting for v3.25 is probably for the best

                        2. Must run Open Source software *not using any dependencies requiring a Package Manager*

                        3. Must not require *any* kind of 'cloud' to operate, must work fine without a network connection, and must be locally configurable

                        4. You know what? Even if it meets rules 1 to 3 I'm still not too hot on the idea…

                        Tom BortelsT This user is from outside of this forum
                        Tom BortelsT This user is from outside of this forum
                        Tom Bortels
                        wrote last edited by
                        #142

                        @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross

                        Brain implants are and were dumb on their face.

                        It turns out we have several excellent brain interfaces available and honed over millions of years of evolution - our eyes, ears, hands, voice, and a bunch of more subtle ones like touch and balance. They are intuitive, built-in, and free. And none of them are permanently invasive, which saves all sorts of biology issues.

                        The only real use-case for any sort of implant is where you have no alternative - the pacemaker comes to mind. The rest are someone trying to sell you something you don't need or want.

                        HighlandLawyerH 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • Tom BortelsT Tom Bortels

                          @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross

                          Brain implants are and were dumb on their face.

                          It turns out we have several excellent brain interfaces available and honed over millions of years of evolution - our eyes, ears, hands, voice, and a bunch of more subtle ones like touch and balance. They are intuitive, built-in, and free. And none of them are permanently invasive, which saves all sorts of biology issues.

                          The only real use-case for any sort of implant is where you have no alternative - the pacemaker comes to mind. The rest are someone trying to sell you something you don't need or want.

                          HighlandLawyerH This user is from outside of this forum
                          HighlandLawyerH This user is from outside of this forum
                          HighlandLawyer
                          wrote last edited by
                          #143

                          @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross @tbortels
                          There's also the option of external devices which communicate directly with the brain, no hole in the head required.

                          Jack William BellJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • jbJ jb

                            @woozle Even then, it's not actually economical if the customers aren't willing to pay extra for the resources, which will be highly latent in a world that despises latency.

                            You end up with Sealand all over again, where the idea is better than the implementation ever can be.

                            Eventually, you have orbiting scrap, cluttering the sky, slowly decaying in orbit.

                            @cstross

                            Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                            Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                            Woozle Hypertwin
                            wrote last edited by
                            #144

                            @jb

                            I could address these points... but it kind of feels like you mainly want to establish the idea that "this is a really bad idea", which I agree is true right now and for the reasonably foreseeable future.

                            @cstross

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                            • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                              Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                              No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                              But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                              Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                              So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                              Tom DB 🦣T This user is from outside of this forum
                              Tom DB 🦣T This user is from outside of this forum
                              Tom DB 🦣
                              wrote last edited by
                              #145

                              @cstross bla bla bla bla bla

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                              • HighlandLawyerH HighlandLawyer

                                @ApostateEnglishman @jackwilliambell @cstross @tbortels
                                There's also the option of external devices which communicate directly with the brain, no hole in the head required.

                                Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                Jack William Bell
                                wrote last edited by
                                #146

                                @HighlandLawyer @ApostateEnglishman @cstross @tbortels

                                Then the rules still apply. If it can change my brain state? I will have a difficult time trusting it. In truth? I sometimes distrust my own senses.

                                Human perceptions are imperfect and brain-mediated. Ever look at anything and simply not see some detail on it until it's pointed out for you? Ever hallucinate? Not smell a stink because you got used to it?

                                We get ALL information via lofi, low-trust channels. We cannot trust our lying eyes.

                                Jack William BellJ HighlandLawyerH 2 Replies Last reply
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                                • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

                                  @HighlandLawyer @ApostateEnglishman @cstross @tbortels

                                  Then the rules still apply. If it can change my brain state? I will have a difficult time trusting it. In truth? I sometimes distrust my own senses.

                                  Human perceptions are imperfect and brain-mediated. Ever look at anything and simply not see some detail on it until it's pointed out for you? Ever hallucinate? Not smell a stink because you got used to it?

                                  We get ALL information via lofi, low-trust channels. We cannot trust our lying eyes.

                                  Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  Jack William BellJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  Jack William Bell
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #147

                                  @HighlandLawyer @ApostateEnglishman @cstross @tbortels

                                  This one fact deeply underscores the importance of the 'Scientific Method' in understanding the universe. Science isn't perfect either, but it has trust-protocols.

                                  Your senses don't.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

                                    @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

                                    My rules for brain implants:

                                    1. I will not alpha or beta test; in fact I think waiting for v3.25 is probably for the best

                                    2. Must run Open Source software *not using any dependencies requiring a Package Manager*

                                    3. Must not require *any* kind of 'cloud' to operate, must work fine without a network connection, and must be locally configurable

                                    4. You know what? Even if it meets rules 1 to 3 I'm still not too hot on the idea…

                                    aspraggA This user is from outside of this forum
                                    aspraggA This user is from outside of this forum
                                    aspragg
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #148

                                    @jackwilliambell @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

                                    My one brain implant rule: all software must be in #Debian `stable`/`main`. This means:

                                    a) it, and all dependencies, are DFSG-compatible https://www.debian.org/social_contract#guidelines

                                    b) and have 3 years support by the Debian security team https://www.debian.org/security/faq#lifespan

                                    c) and maybe 5 years https://www.debian.org/lts/

                                    d) and passed the freeze process with no RC-bugs that would have kept them out of the release https://www.debian.org/doc/manuals/debian-faq/ftparchives#frozen

                                    …and also still not too hot on the idea 🙂

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • Jack William BellJ Jack William Bell

                                      @cstross @ApostateEnglishman

                                      NOTE: Those rules used to be much simpler. More along the lines of, "Not anything using Microsoft or Oracle software."

                                      ETA: Insert joke about, "Blue Screen of Death."

                                      TubemeisterT This user is from outside of this forum
                                      TubemeisterT This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Tubemeister
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #149

                                      @jackwilliambell @cstross @ApostateEnglishman could be worse.

                                      Clippy.

                                      WellsiteGeoW 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                        You're a Buzz Kill, 👀 Patty.P This user is from outside of this forum
                                        You're a Buzz Kill, 👀 Patty.P This user is from outside of this forum
                                        You're a Buzz Kill, 👀 Patty.
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #150

                                        @cstross Tesla is tanking. Starlink is becoming the DSL of the wireless internet (greedily oversubscribed bandwidth slowing it ... ....d o w n ...). Musk needs another source of suckers...er...investors... to fuel his rightwing apartheid ego.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                          Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                          No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                          But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                          Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                          So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                          Mastodon MigrationM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Mastodon MigrationM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Mastodon Migration
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #151

                                          @cstross

                                          Elon has always excelled at selling impossible future stuff to the rubes. When his businesses are evaluated based on performance like Tesla is now, it's disastrous. That's also why he is pivoting to robot cars.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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