Wandering Adventure Party

The study revealed that, while transparency about good news increases trust, transparency about bad news, such as conflicts of interest or failed experiments, decreases it.

Yes, that’s generally how a Bayesian agent would determine the extent to which an institution is trustworthy. A failed attempt to hide “bad news” would be stronger evidence that an institution is not trustworthy than a frank admission is, but that frank admission is still a reason to revise one’s estimate of trustworthiness downwards.

Note that this is a mathematical model the authors present. It’s not data from the real world.

We estimated that the annual cost of housing would be $20 900 per person housed.

Their estimate of costs is much lower than the real-world cost of providing just a shelter bed (not permanent housing) in a large city. A shelter bed costs NYC about $50,000 per year. With that said, I have not looked at their sources for that number.

Edit: they’re also not including the cost of building housing.

Our analysis assumes that housing for PEH is available. Construction of new housing would be a substantial additional expense. The cost of affordable housing varies from $150 000 to $1 million per unit nationwide.

A 30 year mortgage to pay for the construction of a unit that costs the minimum $150,000 would cost about $16,000 per year. For a million dollar unit, such a mortgage would cost about $108,000 per year. (These are costs for an individual. Municipalities may get lower interest rates.)